There are two common sense questions you should ask before authoring a formal business plan.
- What are the market prospects for my idea?
- What are the financial prospects for my idea?
Market Prospects
Market prospects are determined by quick surveys:
- Who would my customers be?
- Are there enough of them?
- What would I sell for?
- How many can I sell per year?
- What is my market penetration
The number of customers is determined by how many entities (people and/or businesses) you think have a need or might like to buy what you are selling. Aggregate your customer profiles into similar groups. For example, let’s say the answer to your first question is: people between ages 18-34. US Census information shown to the left indicates that the identified group is 4% of the total population (of 310,592,467 at the end of 2010) which is 12.4 million people. The answer to question 2 is, “it depends” on the net income of each sale which leads us to defer until we can answer questions 3 and 4. If my product or idea can be sold one or more times to a person in the target group, then I multiply my margin by the number of sales based on some assumed market penetration. This leads us to ask, what are the financial prospects?
Financial Prospects
How much funding and time is required to bring the startup to profitability? This includes such items as:
- Any development required to bring product or service to market
- Any infrastructure like buildings, rentals, IT architecture, etc
- Acquiring and compensating personnel, professional services
Don’t limit development to product development alone. You will need a place to do your work along with at least basic infrastructure (office space, electricity, heating and cooling, communications, office equipment, etc). You might need equipment to build, prototype and test your product or service. It is likely that you will be collaborating with others (employees or contractors) to ready your product or service. You’ll be developing or hiring a marketing and/or sales capability to create and promote the necessary planning and collateral to launch your initiative. It is also likely that you will need the advice and services of an accountant, a lawyer and one or more business advisors. Not the least important is your own income during the development period. This may or may not include health insurance or other benefits.
Once you’ve itemized all of these factors, estimate how long you will need to operate before launch and revenue begins to flow. Factor in all costs up until the time your cash flow goes positive and then add 20%. That will be the “startup cost” of your venture.
Know What You Need
Knowing the startup cost and how long it will take to pay it back is essential to seeking funding. If your prospective market is enthusiastic about your venture and the startup investment is reasonable compared to a quick and dirty ROI, then pursuing a formal business plan makes sense.
Remember, the business plan is primarily for you. Investors are interested in how much traction your idea has and your 10-20 slide PowerPoint. The business plan will permit you to hit the ground running once investor funding is made available.
More on “traction” next month…


